... in New Mexico. I'm talking contested national elections.
1. It will be close. Real close.
2. Results will be late.
3. Rio Arriba County will be mixed up with some monkey business.
and, of course,
4. "There Will Be Blood".
We're fulfilled on the first three, so we're up watching for the outbreak of number 4.
Seriously, though, New Mexico did prove that Obama's appeal can reach to Latinos. We felt here that Obama could do well, if people knew that the campaign was alive and well and reaching out to them. Our local group raised funds to buy radio ads on various stations, including ones we recorded in Spanish and in Tewa. The results here (roughly 50-45 for Obama) were good, though one can not deny there was a strong women's vote for Hillary.
The voter lists were foul--blame of whom? The frequency of provisional ballots was unusually high (I estimated about 10% at the precinct where I observed most of the day). The number to be counted far exceeds the current margin (though I heard it's up to about a thousand, favor of HRC), so it's still 2C2C.
Ultimately, the outcome of the statewide race will mean one delegate's fate. Even that's worth getting right, though, if somehow that can be done with this mess.
Saturday, February 09, 2008
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