Looking at the states besides California that are voting on Feb. 5, one is hard-pressed to name the second-most important. New York and Illinois are big, but each should be a big win for the favorite son/daughter. New Jersey would be significant if Obama managed to make it competitive, but I don't expect that. I come up with candidates for secondary focus on the state level on the key general election swing states Missouri and Colorado, followed by Minnesota, Massachusetts, and New Mexico.
Missouri and Colorado are critical states that the Democrats have a real chance of picking up (along with Ohio, which votes later), . Minnesota being a "Blue State" that is in some danger, it deserves special attentions from the candidates, and in the analysis the day after. I think Massachusetts--though a lock for the Democrats regardless--has a sizable delegate block and will be indicative of the overall national Democratic results.
Finally, New Mexico, which is the most probable 2004 "Red" state for the Democrats to pick up, will be a test of whether Obamania can overcome Clinton's entrenched advantages in this frantic early primary season. I do believe that Richardson will avoid direct endorsement before the misnamed caucuses, but the state machine seems to be lining up for Hillary. It matters, big time, here. Yet there is widespread support for Obama, too. I intend to be as involved as I can be on that day.
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