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Tuesday, September 27, 2005

What do you want from a Presidential candidate?

All hail the Washington Post Political forums, the only game around since the New York Times gave up on policing their site, then pulled their best columnists behind the paid Internet (i.e., losing) curtain. The above title is a current Forum topic, and here is my answer:

From a President I look for two things above all else: 1) Ability to articulate a vision for America's future which can motivate our citizens and civic leaders to act responsibly, thoughtfully, and yes, selflessly; 2) Knowledge of the world's cultures and histories so that they can intelligently conduct diplomacy and command the military. I place close to zero importance on candidates' alleged ability to manage the economy (which Presidents do not do), a little on the mere execution of policy and bureaucracy (which a good chief of staff can do).

Recent history does show that governors consistently beat senators in presidential elections, but this does not necessarily mean they make better presidents. I think everyone who reads this can think of at least two ex-governors who became presidents in the last 30 years for whom they have a strong distaste. If you study U.S. history, though, you will note that generals trump even governors in Presidential elections.

Speaking of ex-military, I would be very surprised if John McCain--who would be the strongest possible Republican candidate in a general election--can get the support of the Republican party Establishment, without which he is going nowhere in terms of getting the nomination. He is too much an independent thinker. Same for Gingrich (who's definitely not ex-military). I expect a Bushite like Cheney, Jeb, or Frist to get it, unless the incipient party rebellion gets a lot more substantial (as it might if they were to lose their majority in a house of Congress in 2006).

As for the presumptive Democratic nominee, Hillary has a long way to go, but if she can tightrope through the primaries, satisfy the centrists, the restless activists out there, and avoid crazies with guns, she will truly deserve it. I think a national security pro like Ret. Gen. Clark would make the best sort of running mate for her. It might not please the left-wingers out there, but I think they would be more than satisfied with the results, as compared with any other President in the last 50 years (Hillary's husband included).

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